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By Ellerd Vallery Luison Oentoro   A week passed, Russia and Ukraine tension escalated to war, the market jumped up and down due to the commodity and metals exported from both countries being put on halt. Why is that? Please have a look key facts below: 70% of land in Ukraine is  farmland, which produces

By Stanislaus Adrian Pratama Last Week, Russia and Ukraine were not in a good relationship. Ukraine insisted on joining NATO, meanwhile Russia didn’t like it if Ukraine joined NATO. Situation got worse when Donetsk and Luhansk declared independence and Vladimir Putin supported it. The US and Allies already gave political and economic sanction to Russia

From the US, the biggest economy in the world is on the rise even though previously there were recession warnings due to the possibility of inverted yield curve. However, we could see that the FED key opinion leader repeatedly calls for interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction. In recent week, we heard that Fed’s

The tension within European continent escalating into new degree, triggered by following factors: Russia deploying troops around Ukraine border amassing around 100.000 troops White House warned that the Russian Invasion of Ukraine could happen any time,  as the Pentagon ruled out deploying troops to defend Ukraine, and sent additional 3000 soldiers to Poland, reinforcing NATO

Wednesday, 10 February 2022, US Government released CPI data at 0,6% it makes US inflation continuously incline to 7,5% the fattest pace in four decades. Market responses are different. US10Y is already overheating, 2% touched last week, meanwhile US30Y also rose until 2,3%.It can be good and bad. As bond yield is a leading indicator

The Bank of England monetary policy committee establishes monetary policy to meet the inflation target at 2%, and in a way that helps maintain growth and employment. At his meeting which ended on February 2, 2022, MPC chose with the majority of 5-4 to raise bank interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, to 0.5%. The

Last week, The Fed and Bank of Canada released their monetary policy statement. Canada could be considered as flat or neutral but for sure we could sense the hawkishness from Fed’s Jay Powell. Powell said that the The Fed will react due to inflation pace getting faster than predicted. Quantitative Easing will end in February

Inflation in America has reached an all time high since 39 years ago, currently 7% and still going up. Canada also reached 4,8%. This inflation level can be dangerous if not properly controlled and become a hyperinflation risk. When it happened, it weighed so much for the economy itself, slowing growth, recovery, and employment. On

“The COVID-19 pandemic has entered a new phase with the Omicron variant, which could infect 60% of people in Europe by March, and could bring it to an end, the World Health Organization’s Europe director Hans Kluge says.” “We anticipate that there will be a period of quiet before Covid-19 may come back towards the

Japan’s inflation hit 0.6%, left behind compared to other countries. Recovery delayed effect by omicron, while cases and fatalities are still low. However, inflation in Japan is limited on fuel and cooking essentials. The government’s concern is Inflation risk could rise faster than expected pace. As written this day BOJ monetary policy statement and outlook,

This world hasn’t declared the end of pandemic, but with the rollout of the vaccination rate, for sure economic recovery is on the way. As per the theory of the economic cycle, in the early recovery phase, some central banks will (or have been) unwind their economic stimulus. We have seen some central banks withdraw